Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001005 0.001149 0.001296 0.001455 0.001623 0.001793 0.001979
2025-04-27 0.000736 0.000936 0.001147 0.001384 0.001642 0.001911 0.002211
2025-05-04 0.000603 0.000846 0.001114 0.001425 0.001770 0.002137 0.002553
2025-05-11 0.000428 0.000689 0.000992 0.001355 0.001768 0.002216 0.002732
2025-05-18 0.000279 0.000542 0.000864 0.001266 0.001736 0.002255 0.002862
2025-05-25 0.000188 0.000450 0.000792 0.001233 0.001762 0.002354 0.003055
2025-06-01 0.000107 0.000351 0.000700 0.001169 0.001744 0.002400 0.003185
2025-06-08 0.000061 0.000291 0.000651 0.001152 0.001778 0.002501 0.003373
2025-06-15 0.000042 0.000273 0.000655 0.001200 0.001890 0.002692 0.003664
2025-06-22 0.000015 0.000219 0.000603 0.001171 0.001904 0.002767 0.003819
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.000189 0.000582 0.001181 0.001964 0.002893 0.004033
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000191 0.000610 0.001257 0.002107 0.003118 0.004360
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000128 0.000534 0.001203 0.002107 0.003197 0.004550
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000074 0.000457 0.001142 0.002095 0.003264 0.004729
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000057 0.000449 0.001181 0.002216 0.003493 0.005101
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000022 0.000378 0.001118 0.002198 0.003552 0.005271
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000002 0.000302 0.001037 0.002152 0.003572 0.005393
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000262 0.001008 0.002173 0.003675 0.005614
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000209 0.000950 0.002150 0.003719 0.005761
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000182 0.000934 0.002184 0.003835 0.005995
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000185 0.000979 0.002306 0.004064 0.006365
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000156 0.000953 0.002323 0.004156 0.006567
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000144 0.000961 0.002390 0.004311 0.006848